Fundamental analysis US dollar is under pressure from macroeconomic data The US dollar index continues to plunge. It updated a two-year low The last time the index was at such low values was in January This dynamic was reflected in the major dollar pairs.
To some extent, the US dollar is under pressure in the other forex reviews currency pairs. The US currency was under additional pressure after yesterday's macroeconomic releases and comments from the Fed representatives.
There is no trace of the former confidence of dollar bulls: all the fundamental signals indicate that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current parameters of monetary policy in the near future, even despite the abrupt growth of inflation indicators.
And if last week traders were full of hope, pointing to the hawkish hints of the latest Fed minutes, the now, the last hopes of dollar bulls have finally collapsed.
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Almost all representatives of the US regulator spoke after the data on the growth of American inflation was published, and unitedly assured traders that the Central Bank will not adjust its policy, reacting only to a single release. He said that the time will come to discuss the curtailment of QE, but now it is too forex reviews to talk about it.
At the same time, Clarida emphasized that when assessing the prospects for monetary policy, it is necessary to consider not forex reviews the dynamics of the consumer price index, but also the growth of wages and productivity, along with employment and the share of the active population. Thus, he reminded investors that the latest Nonfarm release was noticeably disappointing — all components of the release came out in the "red zone".
Also yesterday, Randal Quarles, a member of the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors, worsened the situation, as he had not yet commented on the latest inflation release.
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He supported his colleagues, saying that inflationary pressure is likely to be temporary, so there is no reason to revise the parameters of monetary policy. The macroeconomic reports that were published yesterday also put pressure on the US dollar.
For example, the indicator of consumer confidence of Americans unexpectedly came out in the "red zone", although experts predicted a slowdown in the indicator. But the real figures were lower than the forecast values: the indicator came out at At the same time, the April result was revised downwards. Other releases were disappointing.
On the contrary, the Euro currency received support from the IFO reports yesterday. The German indicator of economic expectations exceeded the point mark for the first time since Februaryamid the continuing improvement in the epidemiological situation and mass vaccination of the population. The business environment indicator also entered the green zone, reaching 92 points best result since Forex reviews It can be recalled that the latest ZEW reports also came out forex reviews.
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In particular, the German business sentiment index surged to 84 points, which is the best result in the last 20 years. Before that, the euro was also supported by the PMI indices.
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French, Italian, as well as pan-European indicators, came out in the "green zone", reflecting the recovery processes forex reviews both the production sector and the service sector. Only the German index of business activity in the manufacturing sector was disappointing — it fell short of the forecast level, showing a slight decline.
Nevertheless, the indicator remained well above the point value 64 pointswhich indicates an improvement in the situation in this area of the economy. At the same time, the PMI index in the German services sector exceeded the forecast level.
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It came out at 53 points, against the expected growth of 51 points. These results reflect the optimism of Forex reviews entrepreneurs about forex reviews prospects for the recovery of the regional economy. On W1 and MN, the Ichimoku indicator still shows a bullish signal "Parade of Line", which indicates the priority of longs. Long positions can be viewed with the main target of 1. Irina Manzenko.